malaweather

MARCH 23, 2008 (HAPPY EASTER)

who says the easter bunny can't leave the candy baskets under the christmas tree. well today is the last day we will have this years christmas tree in our house. yes the date is right, we kept our tree up for over 3 months, just so we could have it on easter. yesterday we took the christmas stuff off of it and put easter stuff. and by the way, yes it is a real tree, not a fake one.

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MARCH 21, 2008

sorry computer was down and post did not make it onto the site.

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MARCH 20, 2008 (HAPPY FIRST DAY OF SPRING)

not much to say. the GFS still does not want to give the east coast a snowstorm. can i t happen? YES. will it happen? i dont know. first, early next week a clipper may bring us some snow. maybe a trace to an inch if we are lucky. more on the weather tomorrow night.

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MARCH 19, 2008

the soaking rain will make the rivers rise rapidly, but i don't see any major flooding problems with this storm. next week we are looking at another storm. could it be a snowstorm? its possible! the EURO model has it, but the GFS model does not. it is just a wait and see for now. also do not be surprised to wake up to a snow shower tomorrow. also happy last day of winter. when you sleep tonight winter will end and spring will begin.

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MARCH 18, 2008

MALAWEATHER STATION IS CLOSED TODAY.
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MARCH 17, 2008

rain will move in tomorrow afternoon. the possibility of an inch or so is possible. as you go into the long range, i see the potential for some snow. as of now late march and early april look very interesting. i do see a few storm that have the possibility of bringing us a good snow.

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MARCH 14, 2008

sorry i have been doing really short updates this week. i am on a very busy schedule. by mid next week i will be back to normal. i am not going to be around this weekend so sorry about that. the storm looks like it will go to our south, so we don't have much to worry about. i don't want to say by to winter just yet, because the NAO is going negative. i still see another chance or more at some snow before spring kicks in.

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MARCH 13, 2008

well the models are not helping me out. they still have major differences. if you want snow, the NAM model has it. The GFS still has a southern track. storm prediction tomorrow.

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MARCH 12, 2008

well the models are playing games. NAM has a north track and the GFS and EURO have a more southern track. this is a huge factor in what we see on friday night into saturday. as of now i am not giving a forecast out. i am going to wait until tomorrow and see what the models say.
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MARCH 11, 2008

i don't have much to say today. storm coming this weekend with the shot of snow and or rain. too early to forecast the storm, another storm around the 20th that i am also looking at. thats all for now.
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MARCH 10, 2008

not much action will take place in the next few days. once we get closer to the weekend we will be talking about another storm. what i noticed is that the NAO is going negative. i don't see winter giving up anytime in the near future. i do see the possibility of more snowstorms before it is all said and done.
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MARCH 7, 2008

Friday night I crashed your party (HEAVY RAIN)
Saturday I said I'm sorry (BRIEF BREAK BETWEEN LOWS)
Sunday came and trashed it out again (POSSIBLE RIVER FLOODING)

i am very concerned about the possible river flooding this weekend. with already high rivers and 1-3 inches of rain, we may be in for it.

TOO MUCH WEATHER TO TALK ABOUT!

1. MAJOR RAIN EVENT TOMORROW AND THURSDAY. (POSSIBLE THUNDER STORMS ALSO)
2. POSSIBLE RIVER FLOODING.
3. MAJOR SNOWSTORM FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.

1. rain will move in tomorrow. i see the potential for 1-2.5 inches of rain.
2. snow melt and rain will cause significant river rising. you may not see anymore snow around you house but go 2 hours north, and they still have plenty of it. the NWS has already issued a flood watch. wed or thursday we may have major river flooding.
3. now after the rainstorm moves through it brings the cold air behind it. with the we have the possibility of a coastal storm forming. that storm may turn into a major snowstorm.

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FEBRUARY 28, 2008

clipper moves in tomorrow. 1-3 inches of accumulation is likely. i don't expect any major problems with it. next tuesday's storm is very complicated. at this point, all i can tell you is that i think we will get some kind of frozen precip during the storm. how much and duration of icy conditions is still unknown. also i am looking at another storm around the 8th. i will let you know more on that one next week.
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FEBRUARY 27, 2008

cold! tonight may reach single digits. snow comes on friday with our clipper. not more than 1-3 inches. schools should still have school. next weeks storm is just too complicated to forecast at this point. the GFS actually has a major snowstorm in central florida while it rains in baltimore. i have a feeling we will get some kind of winter precip with the storm. amounts are impossible to predict at this point.
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FEBRUARY 26, 2008

sorry guys this will be short today, i am still sick. it is raining now, but later tonight into tomorrow we will see a turn over to frozen precip. 1-3 inches is possible. highest amounts in the higher elevations. also with it dipping into the lower 20's tonight, already fallen precip will freeze. like i said yesterday, maybe a delay for tomorrow, but i wouldn't get your hopes up.
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FEBRUARY 25, 2008

sorry for the lack of updates this weekend. i have been sick for about a week now. the main question on everyones mind is "are we going to have school tomorrow?" in a short answer i will say yes. now we still have the possibility of the storm moving in earlier then expected, which would increase our chances of a 2 hour delay, but the truth is that i just don't see the cold air hanging on. this storm is going to drive into a cold air mass that just isn't that powerful. the storm will win over quickly, and temperatures will increase to above freezing. so to narrow it all down, school tomorrow with a slight chance of a delay. the next question that everyone asks is "what about wednesday?" your answer for that is yes, we will have school. once again we have a slight chance of a delay with the cold air moving in behind the storm, and with that, some snow and already fallen rain may start to freeze. then the 3rd question you all ask is "snow on friday?" yes we will have some snow on friday. as of now it looks light. i do expect to have a full day of school on friday. so if you put all the questions together you may come up with " will it be a full week of school?" in a short answer i think we will have a full week. like i said, we do have a chance for some delays, but i think the odds are against them. i hope i am wrong, but even if i'm not, we have a shot at a bigger storm around march 4th. i will let you know more on that as we get closer.

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FEBRUARY 23, 2008

the final snow total in the backyard was 3.75 inches. not the storm i was hoping for, but it did cancel schools. the season total is 28.35 inches. tuesday brings us another shot of snow and ice early. school problems? i will let you know more tomorrow.

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FEBRUARY 22, 2008 (next week preview) 5:45 PM

next tuesday a storm will cut up into the great lakes. that will keep us on the warm side of the storm. the problem is that if it comes early tuesday, which looks very possible, it will start off as a snow/sleet/frz rain mix. it can really mess up the morning commute and school schedules. then it gets very interesting. as tuesdays storm goes out to shore a massive cold wave comes in. it would be so big that northern florida would get temperatures below freezing on thursday morning. on the east side of the cold wave, a lot of precipitation would formed. if that somehow forms together, it may shoot up the eastern seaboard, and thats your big snow storm thursday or friday. the problem is the cold air might push it out to sea, and the storm wouldn't make it our way. the canadian computer model as of now has the late week storm. its just a wait and see. i will keep you updated. tomorrow or sunday i will do more on tuesday's storm.

FEBRUARY 22, 2008 (STORM UPDATE #6) 5:05 PM

We have had 3.25 inches of accumulation. just add it to all the other promising storms that came to be nothing so great. it still brought our snow total for the season to 27.85 inches. no more than another inch or two before its all over and done. i am looking at next weeks storm. i will do an update in an hour or so on it.

FEBRUARY 22, 2008 (STORM UPDATE #5) 2:25 PM

BUST! i just don't get it. i have been tracking this storm for almost 2 weeks. yesterdays model runs showed around 7-8-9 inches of snow for us in the valley. by noon we were projected to be close to 5 inches. its almost 2:30 and snow is off and on. we have only had 2.75 inches. not even close to the computer projections. you go just to our east in north new jersey, 13 inches so far. our area was robbed by a big dry slot that moved in from 7:30 to 10:00 this morning. tonight into tomorrow we still have the chance for another 1-3 inches, which can bump up the storm totals a little more.

FEBRUARY 22, 2008 (STORM UPDATE #4) 12:05 PM

heavy snow is still falling. todays snow total is now at 2.25 inches. one problem, as i talked before about dry slots killing our snow totals, well i see another one moving in. within the next hour snow should lighten in intensity for a little bit.

FEBRUARY 22, 2008 (STORM UPDATE #3) 11:15 AM

Snow has intensified that last hour. we our now at 1.75 inches in the backyard. i do expect snow amount to go up in the next few hours. also i was looking at next weeks possible storm. nor'easter? thats all i am going to say about that today, we have this storm to deal with first. SEND IN SNOW TOTALS (MALAWEATHER@VERIZON.NET OR AIM MALAWEATHER)

FEBRUARY 22, 2008 (STORM UPDATE #2) 9:30 AM

dry slots have been killing the projected snow amounts. we have not received any accumulating snow since 7:30. i do expect to see the gaps fill in, and we will eventually get some persistent snow. what i am worried about is that the project snow totals from yesterday were too high. i am now thinking a 4-8 inch snowfall is more likely. here in the valley we will probably see a 4-6 inch accumulation instead of a 6-10 inch one, because of the dry sots and the possible mix later on.

FEBRUARY 22, 2008 (STORM UPDATE #1) 7:30 AM

Snow has fallen at different rated for that last few hours. we have picked up 1.25 inches so far. expect that total to be at 2-4 inches by noon.

FEBRUARY 21, 2008 (STORM PREVIEW)

the national weather service has issued a winter storm warning. 1-2 inches before the sun comes up. then 5-8 from morning till night. they also throw another 1-2 inches in early saturday. add it up that 7-12 inches. the latest model runs did enhance the storm more than they did before. i am still going with 4-8 inches with scattered higher amounts. i will be updating all night so check every couple hours. tomorrow for updates check frequently. i will be doing many updates on the storm and snow totals as of that point. don't forget to e-mail in your snow totals to us at malaweather@verizon.net or on aim malaweather.

FEBRUARY 21, 2008 (CALM BEFORE THE STORM)

sorry guys i am trying to rest today so i will be ready for constant updates tomorrow. i would like to point out a model that i usually don't talk about. that would be the NAM. it is forecasting 8-10 inches for our area. they may be overdone but i would not be surprised to see scattered amounts that high. i am going back to my snow totals from yesterday morning. widespread 4-8 inches with scattered higher amounts. i am waiting to see what the national weather service does, and when they do decide to act, i will update. one thing for sure is that schools will be closed tomorrow. the timing of the storm will be around 5-9 AM tomorrow. also in the long range next week i see a storm that cuts into the great lakes. it moves to the east coast and up into canada. behind that storm a possible secondary storm develops and bombs out and gives us a major snowstorm. i did some research and found out that this is a similar set up as the blizzard of 1993. i will talk more about that storm this weekend.
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FEBRUARY 20, 2008 (8:00 PM UPDATE)
well i just wanted to show a model of what is possible on friday. this is the amount of snow that is possible between 7 AM and 7 PM friday. as you can see the we have the potential for 5 plus inches of snow before its all said and done.

FEBRUARY 20, 2008 (NIGHT UPDATE)

snow will move into NEPA early friday morning. schools won't be able to open, if the storm moves in around that time. latest model runs shows about a 3-6 inch snowfall. now if you read this morning i had 4-8. like i said, when you give out accumulations this early, things will change. one thing that is becoming more likely is an all snow event. if it does for a while change over to sleet it will be a very short period of time. one thing i would like to bring up is that i talked about this storm on February 8th. if you look at the february 8th post, i gave a long range forecast. at that time i had many doubts with a storm, but i did see the possibility. i am now a lot more confident with the storm. also, next week another storm will move into the area. depending on track we could be looking at rain/snow/mix. i will post more on that one maybe this weekend.

FEBRUARY 20, 2008

well accuweather posted their first snowfall map today. NEPA is in 6-10 inches. i can very well see that being the case. to be on the safe side i will go with 4-8 inches. that may change, but if things stay the same thats what we will get. as of now i doubt school will be in secession friday. more updates around 6:30 tonight.

FEBRUARY 19, 2008

sorry guys i took a 3 day weekend. the clipper tomorrow will bring mainly 1-2 inches of snow. i have heard rumors that schools may get out early tomorrow. as of now im not really buying it. what i am more concerned about is friday's storm. too early for a snow map but we could be looking at a half foot where the cold air stays the longest.

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FEBRUARY 15, 2008

well it looks like all hopes of a big snowstorm this weekend have come and gone. i hope the people in chicago like the storm they will be getting. once again as i said yesterday this season has been a big disappointment, still have not had one big storm. rain rain and more rain will move in sunday into monday. we will keep you up to date with river levels and flooding. i dont see any promising storms in sight just yet. ill let you know when i do.
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FEBRUARY 14, 2008

well we had a delay just like i said. the weekend storm looks like it will cut into the great lakes bringing us mostly rain. we will keep you posted on possible flooding. another disappointment for this season. we still haven't had one big storm. well let you know more about the storm tomorrow.
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FEBRUARY 13, 2008

cold front is moving in and will get rid of the leftover precip. we have had 1.39 inches of rain since 12 am. tonights low will between 15-20 degrees. all water and slush will start to refreeze. trouble tomorrow morning is possible. watch for more delays.
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FEBRUARY 12, 2008 (STORM UPDATE #7) 10:10 PM

precip has calmed down as of now. heavy precip will reenter by midnight. 1-3 inches of accumulation can be expected.

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FEBRUARY 12, 2008 (STORM UPDATE #6) 8:10 PM

snow has slowed down in intensity. the dry slot has worked its way in. so this is a good time to measure accumulations. we had 3.25 inches in the backyard. snow total on the season so far is 24.6 inches. also the local schools have already announced delays for tomorrow. it is really up in th air whether they will close tomorrow morning. i may update on that tomorrow morning when i get the snowblower ready.

FEBRUARY 12, 2008 (STORM UPDATE #5) 6:20 PM

heavy snow still continues to fall. we have had just under 3 inches. the change over to sleet and frz rain will take place in the next few hours. also a dry spot may work itself in and lower precip amounts. schools will delay tomorrow but closing is still up in the air.

FEBRUARY 12, 2008 (STORM UPDATE #4) 2:15 PM

HEAVY SNOW NOW MOVING IN. LOOK FOR SNOWFALL RATES FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS TO BE 1/2 INCH TO 1 INCH PER HOUR.

FEBRUARY 12, 2008 (STORM UPDATE #3) 12:49 PM

moderate to heavy snow is falling right now. we now have snow covered roads. we are still under an inch of snow, but the roads are very slick. i dont expect more than 1-2 inches before 3 PM. one final snow map.

FEBRUARY 12, 2008 (STORM UPDATE #2)

some snow has already fallen. about a dusting of snow has accumulated. in the next few hours the snow will become more steady. i will update later with maps and maybe storm pictures.

FEBRUARY 12, 2008 (STORM UPDATE)

the winter storm watch has been changed to a winter weather advisory. about 3-6 inches will fall before the sleet and frz. rain takes over. significant icing is possible on top of the snow. it is 6 AM now and schools are closing and also sending in early dismissals. i think sometime between 11 and 12:30 everyone should be out of school.

and in case your wondering that sunday into monday storm still looks like a MONSTER!
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FEBRUARY 11, 2008 ( STORM FORECAST)

I AM GOING TO STICK WITH 4-8 INCHES. HOW MUCH WE GET ALL DEPENDS ON WHEN THE PRECIP CHANGES OVER. SCHOOLS WILL MOST LIKELY GO IN ON TIME AND LEAVE EARLY.

then sunday night, coastal storm! we cold be looking at a significant storm, but lets stay on tomorrows storm for now. if anything is to change on track or timing, i will update early tomorrow morning. (between 5 and 7)

FEBRUARY 11,2008

snow moves in by mid morning tomorrow. right now it looks like a 4-8 inch accumulating snow. later on i will post a snow map. i am waiting to see what happens with the winter storm watch. as for school, it looks like a no school or out early kind of thing. one thing is that we probably wont have a full day of school until thursday. more updates later today. also i will be updating early tomorrow morning for school purposes.

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FEBRUARY 10, 2008 (SNOW UPDATE)

we had 2 squalls that came in, in the last 2 hours. they brought brief heavy snow, high winds, and white out conditions. we had about a tenth of an inch of snow. now the season total is 21.35 inches. i expect that to go up some more by the end of the week. a wind chill advisory has just been issued. wind chills are expected to reach -10 to -20 degrees tomorrow morning. once again watch the school delays tonight. tomorrow we dig into Tuesdays into Wednesdays storm.

FEBRUARY 10, 2008

we had a cold front come in early this morning. we had a quarter of an inch of snow in the backyard. the season total is now 21.25 inches. it will be very cold today into tonight. tomorrow morning it will feel colder then -10. watch for those delays.
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FEBRUARY 9, 2008 (STORM UPDATE)

Off and on snow showers right now. we had about an inch of snow today. i think that will be mostly it for this storm. so now our season snowfall is 21 inches. more updates tomorrow on the bitter cold.

FEBRUARY 9 ,2008

it's snowing! we are in the middle of a heavy shower right now. we may pick up a quarter of an inch of snow. hey, it's something. the next week will be very busy for us. i can't concentrate on each day all at once, so i am going to stick with today's storm. 1-2 inches with rain mixed in. for the rest of the week i made a 5 day forecast this morning.

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FEBRUARY 2, 2008 (HAPPY GROUNDHOG DAY)

This year, Phil saw his shadow despite numerous clouds covering the sky. Six more weeks of winter is now forecast past today.

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FEBRUARY 1, 2008 (STORM UPDATE) 12:13 PM UPDATE 3

The changeover is taking place across the area. the rain has started but at this time it is very light. we had about a quarter of an inch of sleet and ice today. that brings our year total accumulation to 20 inches. also when the rain does get heavy, the frozen ground will allow the rain to run off into the street, and cause flash flooding. the main thing is that were almost out of the woods in the valley with the ice. within the next few hours you wont even be able to tell that we had an ice storm in the morning.

FRBRUARY 1, 2008 (STORM UPDATE) 10:50 AM UPDATE 2

the precip has had a few breaks, but still it did get very slick outside. it is still tricky to travel so watch. within the next few hours the icy conditions should be washed away with the rain, and a lot of rain at that. we could see up to an inch and a quarter by the time the storm heads out to sea. i took some pictures outside about 20 minuets ago. i will post them for you look at. also please send in your snow totals or pictures from the storm so we can post them. also here is a radar of whats going on right now.

FEBRUARY 1, 2008 (STORM UPDATE) 8:15 AM

As i said, schools did decide to close today. very few still only have a delay, and i am sure they will eventually close. sleet and frz. rain has been falling here since about 6 AM. We are now starting to get an accumulation of sleet on the sidewalks and other objects in the back yard. still have a few more hours of ice before we switch over to rain. more updates later.

here is what the radar looks like at 8:15 AM

PAZ044-047-048-072-010430-
/O.NEW.KBGM.WW.Y.0001.080201T1200Z-080201T2300Z/
LACKAWANNA-LUZERNE-PIKE-SOUTHERN WAYNE-
326 PM EST THU JAN 31 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 6 PM EST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 6 PM EST
FRIDAY.

A SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN MIX WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY
MORNING. THE PRECIPITATION MAY BRIEFLY BEGIN AS SNOW...THEN
FREEZING RAIN WILL CHANGE TO RAIN BY EARLY AFTERNOON. SNOW AND
SLEET ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LESS THAN AN INCH WITH SOME ICING
LIKELY.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS SNOW, BLOWING SNOW, SLEET,
FREEZING RAIN AND/OR EXTREME WIND CHILLS. AN ADVISORY MEANS
THAT, IF PROPER PRECAUTIONS ARE TAKEN, THE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS SHOULD NOT BECOME DANGEROUS OR LIFE-THREATENING. IF
YOU PLAN TO TRAVEL IN THE ADVISORY AREA...YOU SHOULD SET ASIDE
EXTRA DRIVING TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL-HAZARDS OR YOUR FAVORITE
LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES FROM THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...OR VISIT OUR INTERNET WEB SITE AT
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/BINGHAMTON.

PLEASE REPORT SNOW OR ICE AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1-877-633-6772...OR BY EMAIL AT
BGM.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV.

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JANUARY 28, 2008

well one thing i can tell you is that we are in a stormy pattern. the storm i talked about in the long range on the 24th is still going to come. its not going to be what i thought. it looks like its going to cut into the great lakes bringing us rain. heavy at that. then its still up in the air at the end of the storm. their is still the possibility that it can end as snow. and a few inches if were lucky. i will let you know more about that as we get closer. in the long range i see the potential for big storms. february looks storm. one thing i can say is were getting closer and closer to a big snow storm.
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JANUARY 25, 2008

the last few runs of the gfs have gotten better with next weeks storm. still not there yet but getting closer. look at the long range from yesterday to see what i am talking about. first we will get some snow tomorrow night, but i dont think much, and it wont disrupt any plans. for now its just wait and see. we are sooner or later going to get our big storm. i do think that it will be sometime in the first half of february.
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JANUARY 24, 2008 LONG RANGE 6:36 PM

well i said i would keep you posted if i saw any storm in the future. well sooner then i thought i found one. and its only 8 days away. february 1st. the GFS has a big storm on that day. the problem...RAIN. the GFS has us in rain. so i decided to look at the NAO, and saw that it was declining. this means that the storm would be more likely take a further eastern track and bring us snow. so what i am getting at is that the computer has a rain storm, but with putting things together i think it could be a snow storm. now i am NOT saying BLIZZARD everyone get ready, i am just saying that their is the possibility of a big storm. i will leave you with a map i made for the storm. more updates tomorrow afternoon.

JANUARY 24, 2008

well its snowing right now. little or no accumulation. next shot of snow is saturday. around an inch or so. then next week we have a few more shots at some snow. no big storms in sight just yet, but ill keep you posted.

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JANUARY 23, 2008

well snow for tomorrow night doesn't look too impressive. the energy coming across the state will die out as the new coastal system forms. thats what will cut down on snow totals. one thing i can tell you is that its going to be cold. depending on a few things the snow totals will vary. for now im going with the dusting to 2 inch range. after that the end of january and into february looks stormy.

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JANUARY 22, 2008

i am pressed for time today so this will be short and to the point. today snow showers will continue, i don't expect more than a coating of snow. thursday another cold front moves in. snow showers move in with it. snow ratios should be high so we could see more snow then normal for a little system like this. something like 2-3 inches is not out of the question at this time. what i do think is that the local news s downplaying the storm. if time permits i will update more later on.
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JANUARY 21, 2008

wow it's cold out today. highs in the lower 20's. tomorrow night light snow will reach here. i am going with the coating to 2 inch snowfall totals. now later in the week a clipper system may sweep in and could bring very little precip but decent snow. don't get it? ill tell you why. we may only get a tenth of an inch of moisture, which usually results in around and inch of snow. the reason why we can get more is because it is in the cold air mass. that tenth of an inch of moisture could easily turn into 2-4 inches of snow, with snow ratios 25-1 or 30-1. i will keep you updated on that one. then the warm air tries to work in, but the warm and cold air form a big storm towards the end of the month. not sure on location yet but we will keep an eye on it.
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JANUARY 18, 2007

first off i will talk about yesterday's storm. it came a few hours early while it was still daylight. this cut back on accumulations. we only had a half inch in the backyard. that brings our snow total for the season to 19.75 inches.

today will reach to about 40 degrees. most snow should melt with the sun peaking out today. the storm on saturday looks too far off the coast to bring us anything decent. i think with the cold wave coming in our best bet at snow is the squalls of the lakes. i dont see any promising storms in the long range as of now. i will update if anything were to change with tomorrows night storm.
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JANUARY 17, 2008
now thats what i like to see. all the major weather channels went over to what i said yesterday. 1-3 inches will be what you find in you when you wake up tomorrow. now what im looking into is another coastal storm saturday. with true cold air and the storm track right now i can see another 2 to 5 inches. possible more or less with a change of a snow track, but ill keep you updated on that one tomorrow.
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JANUARY 16, 2008

lets start off with the storm later this week. it looks like the more steady precipitation will reach our area by 6 AM friday. now the local channels are underplaying the storm. i think that we will get more then an inch of snow. and it will come just in time for the morning commute. ice and sleet will also be with the storm but thats not till later. i wouldnt be surprised to see a 1-3 inch accumulation in the backyard.

now the bad news. we are entering a very cold weather pattern. but the air mass is going to be so big that all storms that want to come up the coast, will be shot out to sea. evidence for this is that New York City will only experience highs in the 20's on sunday. more updates later today or tomorrow on the late week storm.
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JANUARY 15, 2008

well the major snowstorm that i was hoping for on thursday into friday, doesn't look that impressive. yes we will see some snow and a mix but it doesnt look like a major snowfall. from last night till now we had about 3 quarters of an inch of snow, which brings the total to 19.25 on the year. ill update more on the next storm later tomorrow when i have more time.
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JANUARY 14, 2008

well i want to start off about yesterdays snow. i was off with the storm track. it went more east then i thought which let a dry slot come into the area and kill snow totals. here we didn't even have any stick. so no accumulation. snow total for the year still 18.5 inches. next storm comes this thursday into friday. we could see moderate to heavy accumulations. here is a map at the potential snowfall areas.

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JANUARY 13, 2008

I like this snow map. i think the over under for this storm is 3 inches. that will be about how much the area will receive.

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JANUARY 11, 2008

well as soon as we thought we had a storm track that the models agreed with, the models all changed their mind. the storm is going left and right side to side. not one thing about the storm is certain. and with another area of low pressure in the mix to the west it may even make it harder to predict the strength of the storm. this is by far the hardest storm i have dealt with. if you go by the newest GFS it only has us in about 1-3 inches. more info will come out later today and if anything were to change we will let you know. we will post at least one more time before the storm begins on sunday night.

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JANUARY 10, 2008

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JANUARY 9, 2008

i have tried for days but i can no longer keep this in. now we enter are first stages of storm hype. the storm coming sunday night into monday looks like a monster. within the last hour we have had data come in showing that this storm could be one of the biggest in years. now it is extremely early but, i think that their is a good shot that this could happen. first i am confident that a storm will track up the coast during that time period. the euro model has a ton of snow into our area. i like the euro on coastal storms, and i am waiting to see what the GFS will show at 6 tonight. if this current storm track does come true (which is really anyones guess) we could be measuring in feet. a major concern for this storm is midterms. if this were to happen, on the 14th and the 15th school would be closed. it is already closed on the 16th. more updates tomorrow and maybe a quick one tonight.
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JANUARY 8, 2008

its hard to believe its dead winter. JANUARY 8 and right now its 68 degrees. massive snow melt taking place. most snow is gone around here but place such as binghamton thats not the case. the river will rise and fast. with a storm bringing rain in the near future we will keep you updates on the rivers. as for the snow on the 15, it looks good as of now. were just gona have to wait and see what happens.

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JANUARY 7, 2008

one word. MILD. mild to hot temps. by tomorrow we will be in the 60's. we haven't seen temps like that in a while. then by next week the cold air comes back!!! stormy for the rest of January, with snowstorms in sight. the first one is the 15h. its on the maps, but im not really concerned about the track at this point. we will update more tomorrow.

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JANUARY 4, 2008
get ready for a wild January. the warm up will kick in tomorrow and it will bring up to 5 days of very mild weather. we are talking 50's maybe even a 60 in spots. then..... get ready for our snowstorm. the latest models have the storm ride up the east coast as i expect it will. with the nao going negative for that time period its the logical thing to guess. the difference with the storm is timing. as of yesterday it was looking like a storm late monday night the 14th into the 15th. now its looking like midnight between the 13th and the 14th. now track, time, and snow amounts are still anyones guess. what im concerned about is the timing. if it were to happen at that time it could cause school closings for that the 14th and the 15th. (monday & tuesday). with school already closed on wednesday, midterms are in jeopardy. as i have said details for the storm are not certain but we are getting close enough that we should closely watch the storm. thats its for now. here is the GFS map for the storm.

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